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How many points Marc Marquez needs to win the 2025 MotoGP title at the Japanese Grand Prix

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Marc Marquez has been dominant throughout the 2025 MotoGP campaign, winning 25 out of the 33 races so far on his way to what looks like a seventh world championship in the premier class of Grand Prix motorcycle racing.

His closest competitor throughout the season has come in the form of his younger brother, Alex Marquez, who currently sits second in the championship with 330 points.

Following an injury-ridden final few years with Honda, Marc took a pay cut to move to Gresini in 2024, where he lined up alongside his brother Alex before the former’s move to the factory Ducati outfit for 2025.

He has been dominant ever since. Atop the GP25, Marc has won 11 Grands Prix so far this season, as well as victories in all but three Sprint races.

READ MORE: Everything to know about Marc Marquez from net worth to girlfriend

Marc Marquez needs 41 points to secure the 2025 MotoGP world championship

To put it simply, Marc needs to score 20 more points in the remaining six rounds (including the Japanese Grand Prix) to mathematically clinch his ninth world title in Grand Prix motorcycle racing.

With 12 points going to the winner of each Sprint race and 25 going to the Grand Prix winner, the maximum number of points that are up for grabs in the remaining races currently sits at 210.

RACECHAMPIONSHIP LEADERMARGIN TO SECOND PLACE
Thailand Grand PrixMarc Marquez (37 points)Alex Marquez (-8 points)
Argentine Grand PrixMarc Marquez (74 points)Alex Marquez (-16 points)
Americas Grand PrixAlex Marquez (87 points)Marc Marquez (-1 point)
Qatar Grand PrixMarc Marquez (123 points)Alex Marquez (-17 points)
Spanish Grand PrixAlex Marquez (140 points)Marc Marquez (-1 point)
French Grand PrixMarc Marquez (171 points)Alex Marquez (-22 points)
British Grand PrixMarc Marquez (196 points)Alex Marquez (-24 points)
Aragon Grand PrixMarc Marquez (233 points)Alex Marquez (-32 points)
Italian Grand PrixMarc Marquez (270 points)Alex Marquez (-40 points)
Dutch Grand PrixMarc Marquez (307 points)Alex Marquez (-68 points)
German Grand PrixMarc Marquez (344 points)Alex Marquez (-83 points)
Czech Republic Grand PrixMarc Marquez (381 points)Alex Marquez (-120 points)
Austrian Grand PrixMarc Marquez (418 points)Alex Marquez (-142 points)
Hungarian Grand PrixMarc Marquez (455 points)Alex Marquez (-175 points)
Catalan Grand PrixMarc Marquez (487 points)Alex Marquez (-182 points)
San Marino Grand PrixMarc Marquez (512 points)Alex Marquez (-182 points)

Adding that number to Alex’s current points total, the maximum number of points he can finish the season on would be 540.

With Marc’s current total sitting at a staggering 521, the 20 points would take him above Alex’s maximum threshold and therefore leave him in a league of his own at the very top of the riders’ standings.

READ MORE: Everything to know about Alex Marquez from net worth to career stats

When is the earliest opportunity that Marc Marquez can seal the 2025 MotoGP title?

The earliest possible opportunity for Marc to seal the 2025 MotoGP title would be at the conclusion of the Japanese Grand Prix, if he is able to outscore Alex by at least three points over the weekend of racing.

To do so, Marc would be leading the championship by 186 points at the time the chequered flag falls in Motegi. For example, if he takes maximum points in the Motegi Sprint race, Marc will only need to finish ahead of Alex in the Grand Prix to be crowned as champion.

MotoGP Of Japan - Race
Photo by Mirco Lazzari gp/Getty Images

It would be a fitting site for Marc to win his seventh MotoGP title at Motegi, with three of his previous six championships being clinched at the Japanese Grand Prix in the past.

The Spaniard also holds the current record for the most motorcycle Grand Prix victories at the circuit with five. Three of those have come in the premier class, with Marc also winning there in 2010 in the 125cc category and in 2012 in Moto2.

READ MORE: Everything to know about Ducati from the MotoGP team’s riders to hierarchy

How can Alex Marquez steal the 2025 MotoGP title away from Marc Marquez?

For Alex to steal the title from under his brother’s nose, a lot will need to go right for the 29-year-old, and a lot will need to go wrong for Marc.

Alex will have to out-score Marc by 192 points, at the very least, in the remaining six rounds (including the Japanese Grand Prix), due to the crucial factor of Marc’s current championship lead sitting at an incredibly healthy 191 points.

RACEMARC MARQUEZALEX MARQUEZ
Thailand Sprint
Thailand Grand Prix
1st
1st
2nd
2nd
Argentine Sprint
Argentine Grand Prix
1st
1st
2nd
2nd
Americas Sprint
Americas Grand Prix
1st
DNF
2nd
2nd
Qatar Sprint
Qatar Grand Prix
1st
1st
2nd
6th
Spanish Sprint
Spanish Grand Prix
1st
12th
2nd
1st
French Sprint
French Grand Prix
1st
2nd
2nd
DNF
British Sprint
British Grand Prix
2nd
3rd
1st
5th
Aragon Sprint
Aragon Grand Prix
1st
1st
2nd
2nd
Italian Sprint
Italian Grand Prix
1st
1st
2nd
2nd
Dutch Sprint
Dutch Grand Prix
1st
1st
2nd
DNF
German Sprint
German Grand Prix
1st
1st
8th
2nd
Czech Republic Sprint
Czech Republic Grand Prix
1st
1st
17th
DNF
Austrian Sprint
Austrian Grand Prix
1st
1st
2nd
10th
Hungarian Sprint
Hungarian Grand Prix
1st
1st
8th
14th
Catalan Sprint
Catalan Grand Prix
1st
2nd
DNF
1st
San Marino Sprint
San Marino Grand Prix
DNF
1st
2nd
3rd
Japanese Grand Prix Sprint2nd10th

That means that Alex will need to see Marc finishing outside of the top 15 in most Grands Prix, and outside of the top nine finishers in the majority of Sprint races left in the year.

The biggest points deficit that has ever been overturned in the history of the premier class came in 2022, when Francesco Bagnaia reclaimed a 91-point gap between himself and Fabio Quartararo to win his maiden MotoGP title with the factory Ducati team.